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- 香港正版综合资料大全文字论坛 - wg479.com

2018-07-22 22:23 来源:亚洲最佳平台zc9665.com

   - 香港正版综合资料大全文字论坛 - wg479.com

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  二四六天天好彩 天天好彩 二四六天天好彩资料

   - 香港正版综合资料大全文字论坛 - wg479.com

 
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- 香港正版综合资料大全文字论坛 - wg479.com

楼主:thanks6love 时间:2018-07-22 14:08:00 点击:1881085 回复:29679
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  熊市已近尾声,但尚未结束。
  目前,上证处于月线三卖之后的周线三卖之后的日线级别下跌中,下跌仍未结束。
  换言之,上证已处在6124点以来大熊市最后一跌的收尾阶段,下跌级别在不断缩小。
  月线三卖,标志着上证进入月线级别“最后一跌”。
  
  周线三卖,标志着上证进入周线级别“最后一跌”。
  
  周线三卖之后,至少有一个日线级别的下跌走势。
  任何级别的任何走势,在次级别,至少有三段。
  我们看上证日线:
  目前,只完成了向下的一段,正在做向上的第二段,之后,至少还有向下的第三段。
  
  根据走势终完美,在日线级别,下跌仍将继续。
  还有很短的一段距离,熊市即将结束了。
楼主发言:1805次 发图:1427张 | 更多
楼主thanks6love 时间:2018-07-22 15:20:54
  A股大牛市!

  “政府”机关的公务员在交易时间结束后,才会陆续回到办公室,大学生纷纷逃课,小学老师用股票作为随堂小测的题目,出租车司机因为害怕错过交易时间而拒绝载客;“茶水妹”、“小妹”等年轻办公室助们,为了买卖股票而辞去工作……更为不可理喻之处在于,在泡沫巅峰期,包括财经各界精英在内的台湾人都沉浸在岛内的一片虚假繁荣的海洋中,认为台湾的股票估值理所当然要高于全球,一句“外国人就是不懂我们的股市”,完全置外人善意的提醒于不顾。

  ——《台湾股市大泡沫》

  每个资本主义国家繁荣的巅峰,都是以疯狂的股票牛市为标志,也是以此为终结的。
  1929年,资本主义世界的股票大牛市,震憾全球,创造了无数财富奇迹。
  1990年前后,日本和台湾,先后迎来了疯狂的股票大牛市。
  值得注意的是,疯狂的股票大牛市之后,这些国家的股市,统统陷入了长达几十年漫长的熊市之中。
  中国在经济领域进入资本主义之后,还没有迎来一场足以导致“全民炒股”的疯狂的牛市行情,07年,只是一轮预演。
  现在,我们正要面临的,就是这样一场类似于1929年之前的资本主义股市、1990年前后日本台湾股市的“超级大牛市”,届时,会引发全民炒股,上证将被炒到至少12000点以上。
  这一轮全民狂欢之后,中国股市,将陷入至少二十年的超级大熊市之中,上证将从12000点以上,跌回到1162点。
  我们此生,再也不可能第二次经历这样的超级大牛市了。
  从战略的角度看,目前买入的一切股票,将来都会给你带来巨大的财富。
  现在重仓抄底者,将成为本轮疯狂大牛市中的大赢家。
  中国民间财富,将因为这一轮大牛市而重新洗牌,无数人将暴富,无数人将一贫如洗。
  本轮牛市过后,社会将不可避免地陷入动荡之中。

  下面,我们将从多角度详细阐述,为什么这轮超级大牛市即将来临。
剩余 3 条评论  点击查看  我要评论
作者:止盈成为一种习惯 时间:2018-07-22 15:36:31
  一个中枢就可以了?
作者:止盈成为一种习惯 时间:2018-07-22 15:38:35
  看30分钟的吧,两个中枢C段还没出来
楼主thanks6love 时间:2018-07-22 15:48:07
  一、股票形态学

  “补充一句,站在特大型牛市的角度,中国就从来没出现过熊市,大家打开上海的年线图就可以看到,从1992年到2005年,一个完美的年级别缠中说禅中枢的三段次级别走势完成,时间刚好是13年,一个完美的时间之窗。站在年线的角度,中国股市的真正大牛市才真正开始,因为该中枢是中国股市的第一个年中枢,区间在998到1558点。站在年线级别,在下一个年线级别中枢确立之前,中国股市的调整只可能出现一个季级别的调整,而第一个出现的季级别的调整,只要不重新跌回1558点,就将构成中国股市年线级别上的第三类买点,其后至少出现如去年类型幅度的上涨。”
  
  ——《教你炒股票21:缠中说禅买卖点分析的完备性》2018-07-22
  从形态学上看,A股正处在历史上第一次年线级别的第三类买点附近。
  历史上,A股5轮年线的次级别走势,分别用时3年、2年、8年、5年、3年,全部都是斐波纳奇数列。目前,从6124点开始的下跌,已经用时7年,明年,2014年,就是第8年了——斐波纳奇数列年。明年,很可能就是A股年线三买主升浪的启动点。
  一个年线级别的第三类买点后,将100%保证至少一个季线级别的上涨。
  该季线级别牛市,大体走势如下:
  
  第一浪,1849—5000点左右,突破前高,为形成标准上涨中枢做准备。
  第二浪,5000—3500点左右,形成季线三买和标准上涨中枢完美买点的重合。
  第三浪,3500—8000点左右,突破6000点,确认大牛市,引发全民炒股热潮。
  第四浪,8000—5000点左右,遭遇一次小型金融危机,构筑季线牛市的第一个标准上涨中枢。
  第五浪,5000—12000点或18000点,中国农民的加入,全民炒股,上证直冲百年内最高点。
  根据缠论:
  “按照本ID的理论,其(第三类买点)后无非只有两种情况,中枢级别扩展或者走出新的中枢上移。”
  ——《教你炒股票61:区间套定位标准图解(分析示范六)》
  我们知道:
  本轮年线级别的第三类买点之后,只有两种情况:年线中枢级别扩展或者年线中枢上移。
  如果是后一种走势,那么,A股将数十年横盘在万点之上,构筑新的年线中枢,这几乎是不可能的。
  因此,A股只能走出第一种走势:年线中枢级别扩展。
  根据缠论:
  “缠中说禅走势中枢中心定理二:前后同级别的两个缠中说禅走势中枢,后GG〈前DD等价于下跌及其延续;后DD〉前GG等价于上涨及其延续。后ZG<前ZD且后GG〉=前DD,或后ZD〉前ZG且后DD=<前GG,则等价于形成高级别的走势中枢。”
  ——《教你炒股票20:缠中说禅走势中枢级别扩张及第三类买卖点》
  我们知道:
  在年线三买之后,形成年线中枢级别扩展的前提下。
  本轮季线级别牛市之后,至少会有一波季线级别的熊市,并至少跌破6124点。
  示意图如下:
  
楼主thanks6love 时间:2018-07-22 15:52:02
  二、股票动力学
  根据缠论:
  1、本级别背驰,到次级别找第一类买点买入。
  2、底背驰,通常MACD黄白线有两次回拉零轴后,股价创新低,而指标不创新低。
  我们知道:
  3478点以来的下跌,是季线级别顶背驰引发的。
  如下图
  
  1、“三买之后是一卖”,第三类买点之后的上涨,出现顶背驰,最高点就是第一类卖点。
  2、第一类卖点,并不一定是某一轮上涨行情的最高点。
  根据1、2,我们就可以准确判断,3478点,就是上证季线级别的顶背驰点。
  季线级别的顶背驰,应该到月线级别找底背驰后的第一类买点买入。
  看上证月线
  
  3478点,季线级别顶背驰后,引发大幅下跌。
  2319—3186点,月线图中,MACD指标第一次回拉零轴。
  随后的下跌,直到2132点,与月线中枢之前的一段3478—2319相比,并没有盘整背驰。
  1949—2444点,月线图中,MACD指标第二次回拉零轴。
  随后的下跌,直到1849点,与月线中枢之前的一段3067—2132相比,出现明显盘整背驰。
  因此,我们可以判断,1849点,就是3478点季线级别顶背驰后调整的最低点。
我要评论
楼主thanks6love 时间:2018-07-22 15:56:57
  三、均线理论

  注意,任何的行情转折,在很大几率上都是由湿吻引发的,这里分两种情况:一种是先湿吻,然后按原趋势来一个大的高潮,制造一个陷阱,再转折;另一种,反复湿吻,构造一个转折性箱型,其后的高潮,就是体位的转化了。在“男上位”的情况下,一旦出现湿吻,就要密切注意了,特别是这个湿吻是在一个长期“男上位”后出现的,就要更加注意了,其后的下跌往往是介入的良机,因为空头陷阱的概率简直太大了。必须提醒,这一点对趋势形成的第一次湿吻不成立。但湿吻之后必有高潮,唯一的区别只是体位的区别,关键判断的是体位而不是高潮的有无。
  ——《教你炒股票11:不会吻,无以高潮!》
  上证2018-07-22—12月6日走势图
  
  上证2018-07-22至今走势图
  
  在“男上位”的情况下,一旦出现湿吻,就要密切注意了,特别是这个湿吻是在一个长期“男上位”后出现的,就要更加注意了,其后的下跌往往是介入的良机,因为空头陷阱的概率简直太大了。
  从形态上,上证目前的走势,与2018-07-22—12月6日之间走势极为相似,这也就是缠师所说的“湿吻(均线粘合)后的空头陷阱”。
  2018-07-22—9月20日,三个多月的吸筹建仓期,孕育了06-07年6000点大牛市。
  2018-07-22—9月12日,约三个月的吸筹建仓期,其后的牛市,至少不亚于06、07年。
  需要提醒的是:
  05年,只有一轮吸筹,建仓期3个多月。
  12-13年,却有两轮吸筹,从2018-07-22至9月12日,建仓期长达10个多月。
  3个月VS10个月
  6000点VS18000点。
楼主thanks6love 时间:2018-07-22 15:59:51
  四、基本面

  06、07年牛市,吸引了中国城市居民的广泛参与,但中国农民,这只重要的力量,依然没有深度介入。
  中国农民,是城市人口的两倍以上,近三十多年来,积累了大量财富。由于供需矛盾,导致技术性农民工的实际收入水平,甚至超过城市白领,而由于他们俭朴低成本的生活,其储蓄能力更是惊人。在东部沿海,相当一部分农村地区,富裕程度远超城市。
  中国农民,这只重要力量的加入,以及城市居民近八年的财富积累,将把中国股市07年的城市顶——6124点,再往上推高三倍以上——至18000点,甚至20000点以上。
  我们正处在中国百年内最大规模牛市爆发的前夜,这是最后一次底部买入机会。

  五、趋势理论

  “缓慢的趋势,是市场将来真正的发展趋势”,这句话,我悟了15年,直到某一天,突然觉醒为止。
  ——《股道》
  “缓涨急跌”是牛市初期的典型走势。
  2334—1849点的急速下跌和1849—2270点的缓慢上涨,充分体现了这一牛市初期的典型特征。
  “缓慢的趋势,是市场将来真正的发展趋势”,那么,A股未来的趋势方向就应该是——向上。
作者:一帆风顺营运部 时间:2018-07-22 16:42:55
  @thanks6love 7楼 2018-07-22 15:59:51
  四、基本面
  06、07年牛市,吸引了中国城市居民的广泛参与,但中国农民,这只重要的力量,依然没有深度介入。
  中国农民,是城市人口的两倍以上,近三十多年来,积累了大量财富。由于供需矛盾,导致技术性农民工的实际收入水平,甚至超过城市白领,而由于他们俭朴低成本的生活,其储蓄能力更是惊人。在东部沿海,相当一部分农村地区,富裕程度远超城市。
  中国农民,这只重要力量的加入,以及城市居民近八年的财富......
  -----------------------------
  上证指数的月K线上不向下挖个坑将很难开启所谓的牛市。
作者:寳誠 时间:2018-07-22 16:43:41
  温水煮青蛙 波澜不惊
楼主thanks6love 时间:2018-07-22 18:34:55
  @一帆风顺营运部 8楼 2018-07-22 16:42:55
  上证指数的月K线上不向下挖个坑将很难开启所谓的牛市。
  -----------------------------
  坑已挖好,1849点那个就是。
楼主thanks6love 时间:2018-07-22 18:54:29
  六、量柱理论

  量柱理论,能有效揭示了市场主力的成本底线,而主力的成本底线,是不可跌破的,因此,往往就是一轮调整的最低点。
  看一个实例,广聚能源
  11月1日,广聚能源出现了跌停,我们利用量柱理论,成功找到了它回调的准确底部。
  看广聚能源日线
  
  10月31日那根高量柱C,放出了天量,谁手里能有这么多股票砸盘?
  只能是庄家。
  11月1日,迅速缩量,昨天还天量砸盘,今天就不卖了,为啥?
  成交量的放大,意味着多空力量巨大的分歧,而一夜之间,空方消失了,这说明,前一日的分歧,并非是市场本身自然力量对该股未来走势的分歧,而纯粹是庄家故意砸盘的结果。从次日巨幅缩量可以看出,庄家的真正意图是洗盘,而不是逃跑。
  既然是洗盘,我们就要了解庄家的底线。
  庄家的成本是多少?
  看图中倍量柱A和倍量柱B,这种突然放量,都是庄家建仓搞出来的。
  倍量柱A的实体上沿为5.03元。
  倍量柱B的实体上沿为5.01元。
  明白了吗?这就是庄家建仓的成本线,是庄家的底线,洗盘洗到这里,就会止跌。
  之后该股走势,完全符合我们的判断:
  
  调整到5.02元止跌,随后,连拉两个涨停。
  量柱理论,在个股的预测上,精确无比,那么,它能否预测大盘呢?
  我们知道:
  上证6124点以来的下跌,是一轮季线级别的调整。
  因此,6124点以来的熊市的历史大底,就应该在季线级别市场主力的成本线之上。
  看上证季线
  
  6124点下跌以来,季线级别的第一根明显的倍量柱是2009年1季度的那根倍量柱。
  成交量翻倍,季线收中阳。
  这么大的成交量,一定不是散户做出来的,而是市场主力建仓抢筹的结果。
  因此,这根倍量柱就对揭示主力成本线有重要意义。
  2009年1季度的这根倍量柱,实体下沿是1849.02点。
  1849.02点,就是季线级别,市场主力的成本线,这就是6124点以来季线级别调整的最终底部,是不可能被跌破的。
  事实正是如此。
  2018-07-22,上证调整的最低点是1849.65点,恰好在主力成本线之上,连0.1个点都没跌破。
  这再一次证明了,本级别调整,主力成本线是绝对不可能跌破的。

  那么,3478点以来调整的最低点会在哪里呢?
  前面我们分析过,3478点是一个季线级别顶背驰。
  而季线级别顶背驰引发的是一轮月线级别的调整。
  这样,我们找到月线级别市场主力的成本线,就能锁定月线级别调整的最低点。
  看上证月线图
  
  2012年12月,1949点的那根倍量柱,实体下轨为1977.25点。
  我们前面分析过了,这么大的量,只能是主力干出来的。
  因此,1977.25点,就是市场主力在月线级别的成本线和底线,是不能被跌破的。
  那么,3478点以来,月线级别调整的最终底部,就应该在1977.25点之上,最可能的点位就是1978点。
  1849点,鸦片战争底。
  1949点,建国底。
  1978点,改革开放底。
  这些都是主力根据自己的成本线故意搞出来的。

  这里需要提醒的是,本级别的调整,绝对不可能跌破本级别的市场主力成本线,但高一级别的调整,就有可能跌破本级别市场主力成本线。
  我们看,2013年6月,上证季线级别的调整,形成最终底部时,跌破了月线级别市场主力成本线1977.25点,最终跌至1849点。但是,触底之后,上证迅速反弹,当月收于1979.21点——月线级别市场主力成本线之上。
  这说明,虽然高一级别的调整,会跌破本级别市场主力成本线,但本级别市场主力成本线,对高一级别的调整,仍然能够实施巨大影响。
  利用市场主力成本线与各级别调整低点的准确对应关系,我们现在就可以确定本轮A股万点大牛之后长达二十多年大熊市的最终底部。
  看上证年线
  
  2006年的这根倍量柱,实体下沿是1161.91点。
  这说明,在年线级别,市场主力的成本线和底线,就是1161.91点。
  如果是年线级别的调整,市场就会在1162点止跌。
  这样,上证这轮年线三买之后的上涨,一旦出现背驰,将引发一轮年线级别的大熊市。
  该熊市可能长达二十年以上,其最终底部,将是1162点。
  让我们再看一次上证月线
  
  1949点之后和1849点之后,两轮梯量柱,节节攀高——底部放量。
  主力在这个位置,拿真金白银,不计成本地抢筹建仓,就是在为明后年的大牛市播种。
  1849点以来的反弹,明明是在做一个月线三卖,但个股的拉升幅度惊人,量价齐升,这让散户们一头雾水,如果你了解了A股市场的这个大趋势,就全明白了。
  暴涨暴跌,是股市见底和见顶前的一个常见现象。
  在这个位置,主力的大资金抢筹建仓行为,会引发股票的暴涨,暴涨之后,就必须主动打压洗盘,主力的砸盘,自然制造出恐怖的跌停板。
  暴涨暴跌的股市,也是为了把最后一批长线交易者清洗出局,把所有散户都培养成短线投机客,这样,历经熊市洗礼、赔光血汗钱、可怜的散户们,就会集体踏空本轮牛市行情,大牛市就可以在主力建仓完毕,散户集体踏空中——轻松起航了。
  少数人赚多数人的钱,是资本主义世界永恒的法则。
  中国第三波暴富机会,又摆在了大家面前,只是,大多数人还茫然无知。
楼主thanks6love 时间:2018-07-22 18:55:40
  七、大师的预言
  2004年5月,投资大师吉姆·罗杰斯预言:A股将在4—16个月内见底,结果,13个月后的2018-07-22,上证在998点见底,迎来一轮轰轰烈烈的大牛市。
  2018-07-22,罗杰斯宣称:A股可能已经见顶了,两个交易日后,上证见顶6124点。
  2008年10月下旬,罗杰斯表示,自己再次买入中国股票,10月28日,上证见底1664点。
  2018-07-22,罗杰斯抛出“A股崩盘论”,结果,次日的8月4日,上证见顶3478点。
  2018-07-22,罗杰斯“五年来首次买入中国股票”。
  
  目前,我们正处在月线三卖之后的“熊市最后一跌”之中,该轮下跌,将会在1978点止跌,形成月线级别的第二类买点。
  通俗地讲,目前,A股已经处在月线级别牛市的初期,现在的下跌,就是一个“空头陷阱”,这个陷阱挖完之后,A股将迎来堪比06、07年的大牛市主升浪。
  作为“陷阱上的舞者”,就应当在趋势逆转之后的“诱空陷阱”中,大胆买入。
  这就是为什么,投资大师吉姆·罗杰斯“五年来第一次买入中国股票”的原因。
  巴菲特、罗杰斯,这些投机大师,都是技术高手,每次都能在准确的买点买入,但他们不会把买入的真正原因告诉你。
楼主thanks6love 时间:2018-07-22 18:56:08
  近八年来,A股熊冠全球,国内骂声一片。
  全球股市普遍牛市的大背景下,A股这个“熊孩子”,的确像“扶不起的阿斗”,千夫所指,无病而死。
  我们都误会A股了。
  韩信跨下偷生日,勾践卧薪尝胆时。
  不是一飞冲天起,大鹏举世无人识。
  A股,不是阿斗,而是韩信、越王勾践。
  A股,近八年的蜇伏,是为了未来全球最惊人的牛市在积蓄能量。
  罗杰斯,这个被巴菲特誉为“世界趋势之王”的绝世高手,三次环游世界,在全世界所有股市中,独爱中国股市,他不是在开玩笑。
  20世纪,是美国的世纪,沸腾的二十年代,见证了美国奇迹。
  21世纪,属于中国,我们即将见证中国股市百年内的巅峰。
  21世纪一零年代,中国股市将震憾全球!
  1929,大崩盘。
  或许,“2019,大崩盘”将成为后世津津乐道的话题。
  但,在此之前,“空头不死,涨势不止”将贯穿整个一零年代。
  在2019年10月的某一天,中国股市,终于耗尽了它上涨的能量,大崩盘开始了……
作者:lixiang8815 时间:2018-07-22 19:20:19
  等待A股上一万点
  
作者:pzm24 时间:2018-07-22 19:45:49
  顶楼主
  
作者:gorilla4 时间:2018-07-22 19:54:56
  @thanks6love 11楼 2018-07-22 18:54:00
  六、量柱理论
  量柱理论,能有效揭示了市场主力的成本底线,而主力的成本底线,是不可跌破的,因此,往往就是一轮调整的最低点。
  看一个实例,广聚能源
  11月1日,广聚能源出现了跌停,我们利用量柱理论,成功找到了它回调的准确底部。
  看广聚能源日线

  
  10月31日那根高量柱C,放出了天量,谁手里能有这么多股票砸盘?
  只能是庄家。
  11月1日,迅速缩量,昨天还天量砸盘,今天就不卖了,为啥?
  成交量的放大,意味着多空力量巨大的分歧,而一夜之间,空方消失了,这说明,前一日的分歧,并非是市场本身自然力量对该股未来走势的分歧,而纯粹是庄家故意砸盘的结果。从次日巨幅缩量可以看出,庄家的真正意图是洗盘,而不是逃跑。
  既然是洗盘,我们就要了解庄家的底线。
  庄家的成本是多少?
  看图中倍量柱A和倍量柱B,这种突然放量,都是庄家建仓搞出来的。
  ...
  —————————————————
  花了不少心思啊 顶一个
  
作者:小散老细 时间:2018-07-22 20:01:50
  还早!还要2个多月。
  
作者:炒股一路发 时间:2018-07-22 20:49:46
  希望如楼主所言
楼主thanks6love 时间:2018-07-22 21:14:15
  现在,送出第二只翻倍牛股。
  这是一只周线三买的股票,和北京旅游、吉视传媒属同一性质。
  雅本化学
  
  买点刚过去一周,还不算太晚。
  翻一倍的话,至少到20元,现在12元多,还是很值得购买的。
  不喜欢园城黄金的,可以买这一只。
  钱多的,可以分散一下风险。

  牛股实在太多,处在绝佳买点的就有十几只,还有一批买点正在形成中,只可惜,本楼主一个人无论如何也买不过来,浪费了可惜,免费送给大家。
我要评论
作者:chenjian2001 时间:2018-07-22 21:33:49
  牛市见顶时,楼主一定要上来吱一声啊~~~~~~~·
  牛市见顶时,楼主一定要上来吱一声啊~~~~~~~·
  牛市见顶时,楼主一定要上来吱一声啊~~~~~~~·
楼主thanks6love 时间:2018-07-22 21:35:52
  @chenjian2001 20楼 2018-07-22 21:33:49
  牛市见顶时,楼主一定要上来吱一声啊~~~~~~~·
  -----------------------------
  那得很多年以后了吧,说不定号都被封了N个了,谁也不认识谁了。
作者:九五至神 时间:2018-07-22 21:38:47
  扯蛋,这次熊市熊不见底
作者:阿克苏艾里 时间:2018-07-22 21:43:06
  楼主就是新闻调查吧,你的那个帖子不说要跌倒1500多点吗,现在有说接近尾声,就是说前面的1849是不能跌破的?市场上什么变化让你改变先前的判断呢?
楼主thanks6love 时间:2018-07-22 21:50:21
  @阿克苏艾里 24楼 2018-07-22 21:43:06
  楼主就是新闻调查吧,你的那个帖子不说要跌倒1500多点吗,现在有说接近尾声,就是说前面的1849是不能跌破的?市场上什么变化让你改变先前的判断呢?
  -----------------------------
  1、早先观点是跌到1560附近,依据是股票形态学。
  2、修正后的观点,1849点就是底,因为不小心看到了市场主力的成本线。
  3、道可道,非常道。市场是不可预知的,这也是上天统治世界的基本逻辑。在股市中,只有神仙和妖怪可以准确预测股市,换言之,当你言无不中时,离死也就不远了。预测可以作为游戏,娱乐一下。
作者:369564608 时间:2018-07-22 22:17:44
  000408和000151怎么样啊,000151今天刚清仓.
楼主thanks6love 时间:2018-07-22 22:21:48
  @369564608 25楼 2018-07-22 22:17:44
  000408和000151怎么样啊,000151今天刚清仓.
  -----------------------------
  都不怎么样。
作者:duantao83 时间:2018-07-22 22:38:12
  楼主你好

  鲁阳股份002088
  法因数控002270
  华昌化工 002274

  这三支股票股票是不是正在形成周线三买,图形上看起来很漂亮(我从中小板选出来的,不过前期涨幅较大,有点疑问)

  还有我对你 雅本化学这支股票 ZG 怎么是怎么确定的,怎么跟缠论里面的画法不一致
作者:天黑路滑股市复杂 时间:2018-07-22 22:43:40
  顶顶,原来是新闻哥
  
作者:天黑路滑股市复杂 时间:2018-07-22 22:45:08
  给我画下002468吧,这股还好吧?
  
作者:壬水甲木 时间:2018-07-22 22:52:01
  楼主你好!中枢是如何画出来的?
作者:369564608 时间:2018-07-22 22:53:40
  @369564608 25楼 2018-07-22 22:17:44
  000408和000151怎么样啊,000151今天刚清仓.
  -----------------------------
  @thanks6love 26楼 2018-07-22 22:21:48
  都不怎么样。
  -----------------------------
  谢谢楼主
作者:风雨无踪 时间:2018-07-22 09:44:51
  顶楼主
作者:带头抢反弹 时间:2018-07-22 09:47:12
  路过
楼主thanks6love 时间:2018-07-22 10:40:46
  @duantao83 27楼 2018-07-22 22:38:12
  楼主你好
  鲁阳股份002088
  法因数控002270
  华昌化工 002274
  这三支股票股票是不是正在形成周线三买,图形上看起来很漂亮(我从中小板选出来的,不过前期涨幅较大,有点疑问)
  还有我对你 雅本化学这支股票 ZG 怎么是怎么确定的,怎么跟缠论里面的画法不一致
  -----------------------------
  鲁阳已经跌进中枢了,不是。
  法因数控是周线三买,已经完成。
  华昌化工也很可能是。

  雅本化学,你可以把缠论里的画法贴上来,交流一下。
作者:nebin 时间:2018-07-22 10:43:56
  新闻老师复出了!!!!!
楼主thanks6love 时间:2018-07-22 10:51:53
  @天黑路滑股市复杂 29楼 2018-07-22 22:45:08
  给我画下002468吧,这股还好吧?
  -----------------------------
  
  周线中枢震荡,中枢(6.34,8.35)
  一买、二买之后,尚未出现三买。
  一般来说,有更好的买点,就不要参与中枢震荡。
作者:nebin 时间:2018-07-22 10:52:34
  楼主的笔定义,是用旧笔还是新笔?
楼主thanks6love 时间:2018-07-22 10:55:57
  @nebin 38楼 2018-07-22 10:52:34
  楼主的笔定义,是用旧笔还是新笔?
  -----------------------------
  新笔
作者:duantao83 时间:2018-07-22 11:00:15
  @duantao83 27楼 2018-07-22 22:38:12
  楼主你好
  鲁阳股份002088
  法因数控002270
  华昌化工 002274
  这三支股票股票是不是正在形成周线三买,图形上看起来很漂亮(我从中小板选出来的,不过前期涨幅较大,有点疑问)
  还有我对你 雅本化学这支股票 ZG 怎么是怎么确定的,怎么跟缠论里面的画法不一致
  -----------------------------
  鲁阳已经跌进中枢了,不是。
  法因数控是周线三买,已经完成。
  华昌化工也很可能是。

  雅本化学,你可以把缠论里的画法贴上来,交流一下。
  ——————
  上班的时候只能手机看股票,回去再花,今天华昌化工现在接近涨停,且出现倍量柱,是否意味下跌结束?不过今天明显60分二买,看60分钟图很明显
  
作者:nebin 时间:2018-07-22 11:07:43
  贵金属股票,受到贵金属现货期货的影响太大了。个人认为不能仅从技术层面去看。
楼主thanks6love 时间:2018-07-22 11:11:05
  @nebin 40楼 2018-07-22 11:07:43
  贵金属股票,受到贵金属现货期货的影响太大了。个人认为不能仅从技术层面去看。
  -----------------------------
  是啊,技术面只是看问题的视角之一。
作者:duantao83 时间:2018-07-22 11:12:47
  楼主,我觉得你和天涯另一个楼主(缠舞狂纱)一起交流沟通,估计天下无敌了,那楼主很厉害,尤其选股和做短线,做的都是强势股,看他买股票几个月,基本都是赚钱的
  
楼主thanks6love 时间:2018-07-22 11:16:23
  
  今天涨停的翰蓝环境,就是一个漂亮的周线三买。
  它今天已经涨停了,明天如果有机会,还能追吗?
  答案是肯定的。
  为什么?
  一个周线三买之后,至少有一个次级别向上。
  而这个次级别向上,在次次级别,至少有三段。
  这样,我们就可以简单算一下:
  日线里的三笔,至少有15根K线。
  15根日K线,就是三根周K线。
  目前,才是第二根周K线。
  所以,最差的情况,翰蓝环境也还得再涨一周。
  所以,明天追,基本无风险。
  这就是类似于无风险套利的机会。
作者:满泉小屋 时间:2018-07-22 11:32:09
  先顶,麻烦楼主看看002689可以吗,谢谢。
作者:满泉小屋 时间:2018-07-22 11:34:46
  再有圆成黄金日KDJ还没有调整好,是不是再等一等啊,谢谢。
楼主thanks6love 时间:2018-07-22 11:48:44
  @满泉小屋 44楼 2018-07-22 11:32:09
  先顶,麻烦楼主看看002689可以吗,谢谢。
  -----------------------------
  周线三买过后横盘未涨的股票,可以继续持有。
作者:小散老细 时间:2018-07-22 11:53:33
  @thanks6love 7月份就差不多了
楼主thanks6love 时间:2018-07-22 11:54:50
  @满泉小屋 45楼 2018-07-22 11:34:46
  再有圆成黄金日KDJ还没有调整好,是不是再等一等啊,谢谢。
  -----------------------------
  园城黄金,是一个月线级别的买点,一般操作这样的票,就看长不看短,不在乎短线得失。
  如果比较在乎日线级别,就应该找日线三买的股票。
  “事事有馀不尽,便造物不能忌我,鬼神不能损我。若业必求满,功必求盈者,不生内变,必招外忧。”
  凡事都要留有余地,才不会遭天地、鬼神、小人忌恨,方能长久,买股票也一样。
楼主thanks6love 时间:2018-07-22 12:09:45
  @duantao83 42楼 2018-07-22 11:12:47
  楼主,我觉得你和天涯另一个楼主(缠舞狂纱)一起交流沟通,估计天下无敌了,那楼主很厉害,尤其选股和做短线,做的都是强势股,看他买股票几个月,基本都是赚钱的
  -----------------------------
  不要追求天下无敌的境界,如果天下无敌,那“天上”就是你的敌人了,天妒英才。
  要说天下无敌,缠师本人可以当之无愧,比巴菲特还牛,结果呢?英年早逝。
  有阴就有阳,有得就有失,得到多少,就必然失去多少,世界的本质就是,从无中来,到无中去。
  除了缠师,投机之王利弗莫尔也可谓“天下无敌”,结果,以破产和自杀结束了一生,遗言写道:“我的人生,是个失败”。
  得就是失,失就是得。
楼主thanks6love 时间:2018-07-22 12:19:24
  @duantao83 27楼 2018-07-22 22:38:12
  上班的时候只能手机看股票,回去再花,今天华昌化工现在接近涨停,且出现倍量柱,是否意味下跌结束?不过今天明显60分二买,看60分钟图很明显
  -----------------------------
  下跌结束,是有严格定义的,就是底部出现第三类买点。
  华昌化工是一个60分下跌,确认下跌结束,当然是以60分三买出现为标志的。
  所以,从定义上说,还不能确认下跌结束。
  但从经验的角度看,下跌结束的可能性很大。
  周线三买后的第一个涨停,都是无风险追高的机会。
作者:duantao83 时间:2018-07-22 12:53:55
  @duantao83 42楼 2018-07-22 11:12:47
  楼主,我觉得你和天涯另一个楼主(缠舞狂纱)一起交流沟通,估计天下无敌了,那楼主很厉害,尤其选股和做短线,做的都是强势股,看他买股票几个月,基本都是赚钱的
  -----------------------------
  不要追求天下无敌的境界,如果天下无敌,那“天上”就是你的敌人了,天妒英才。
  要说天下无敌,缠师本人可以当之无愧,比巴菲特还牛,结果呢?英年早逝。
  有阴就有阳,有得就有失,得到多少,就必然失去多少,世界的本质就是,从无中来,到无中去。
  除了缠师,投机之王利弗莫尔也可谓“天下无敌”,结果,以破产和自杀结束了一生,遗言写道:“我的人生,是个失败”。
  得就是失,失就是得。
  ——————

  楼主文采不错,我学机械的,文采比你差多了,股票认为还是要多交流,领头的人带着大家一起学习,很多人都是自己学习,去总结经验,千人千缠,也就是这个道理,有些人学了缠论也不一定赚钱,为啥,我认为很重要的一点,选股,选股非常重要,这就是说的女怕嫁错男,男怕入错行,希望在这在楼主带领下,朋友们一起发下一下自己的选股方式,整理起来,形成一个理论,如长线怎么选股,短线怎么选,什么时候介入
  
作者:kwx135246 时间:2018-07-22 13:36:09
  新闻哥终于回来了,等的你好辛苦!

  有你牛市的预测,坚定我持股的信心!

  帮看下600741(全仓9.37进的,业绩好市盈率才5倍多点) 000100
作者:满泉小屋 时间:2018-07-22 13:39:45
  @满泉小屋 45楼 2018-07-22 11:34:46
  再有圆成黄金日KDJ还没有调整好,是不是再等一等啊,谢谢。
  -----------------------------
  @thanks6love 48楼 2018-07-22 11:54:50
  园城黄金,是一个月线级别的买点,一般操作这样的票,就看长不看短,不在乎短线得失。
  如果比较在乎日线级别,就应该找日线三买的股票。
  “事事有馀不尽,便造物不能忌我,鬼神不能损我。若业必求满,功必求盈者,不生内变,必招外忧。”
  凡事都要留有余地,才不会遭天地、鬼神、小人忌恨,方能长久,买股票也一样。
  -----------------------------
  不错,,据需学习。
作者:满泉小屋 时间:2018-07-22 13:46:04
  日周月线三买是不是大同小异啊,谢谢。
作者:nebin 时间:2018-07-22 15:10:12
  @duantao83 42楼 2018-07-22 11:12:47
  楼主,我觉得你和天涯另一个楼主(缠舞狂纱)一起交流沟通,估计天下无敌了,那楼主很厉害,尤其选股和做短线,做的都是强势股,看他买股票几个月,基本都是赚钱的
  -----------------------------
  缠舞狂沙去年在楼主的另一个贴子里有过交流。
  http://bbs-tianya-cn.wg479.com/post-stocks-1095095-15.shtml

  有好事者说:
  缠舞是南帝,福建钱兄是北丐
  新闻是东邪,天涯帅哥是西毒
  不够爆炸是铁掌裘千仞
楼主thanks6love 时间:2018-07-22 16:40:06
  @kwx135246 52楼 2018-07-22 13:36:09
  新闻哥终于回来了,等的你好辛苦!
  有你牛市的预测,坚定我持股的信心!
  帮看下600741(全仓9.37进的,业绩好市盈率才5倍多点) 000100
  -----------------------------
  华域汽车,典型的月线级别中阴状态。
  判断中阴状态结束有一辅助判断:
  一般来说,某一级别的布林通道收口,就意味着比这低级别的某个中阴过程要级别扩展或结束了,一般都对应着有相应的第三类买卖点。
  看季线图
  
  从上轨上的超强区域下跌反弹后,未能回到超强区域,说明进入中阴状态了。
  现在,季布林通道收口了,说明这个中阴状态即将结束,要选择方向了。
  一般来说,中阴状态结束后,会沿原方向继续运动,少数情况,会反向运动。
  具体到华域汽车,一般来说,会下跌,少数情况,会上涨。
  再看月线图:
  
  下跌+扩张形下跌中枢,接下来,必然还有一个下跌,而这个下跌还没有完成。
  因此,可以判断,华域汽车,正在为一场下跌积蓄能量。

  TCL月线中枢震荡,中枢(1.54,2.90),上轨卖,下轨买就好,现在的方向是向下。
楼主thanks6love 时间:2018-07-22 16:41:54
  @满泉小屋 54楼 2018-07-22 13:46:04
  日周月线三买是不是大同小异啊,谢谢。
  -----------------------------
  原理都一样。
作者:劉邦大帝 时间:2018-07-22 16:43:12
  留名
  
作者:zby9397 时间:2018-07-22 16:44:40
  熊市里有牛股 牛市里有熊股
  
作者:一帆风顺营运部 时间:2018-07-22 17:02:00
  楼主帮忙分析一下中小板指数和深证综指目前所处的位置以及对他们后市的研判。
作者:十年一股2013 时间:2018-07-22 17:14:00
  果断顶起来,此贴必火
楼主thanks6love 时间:2018-07-22 17:19:01
  @一帆风顺营运部 60楼 2018-07-22 17:02:00
  楼主帮忙分析一下中小板指数和深证综指目前所处的位置以及对他们后市的研判。
  -----------------------------
  主板就是最后一跌,月线三卖后的周线三卖后的日线级别下跌中。
  这次不跌破1558点,就是缠师讲的年线级别三买,后市至少有一个季级上涨。
  牛市不一定就是05-07年那样子,也可能是94年到01年那样的慢牛。

  中小板图形很好。
  
楼主thanks6love 时间:2018-07-22 17:21:55
  @zby9397 59楼 2018-07-22 16:44:40
  熊市里有牛股 牛市里有熊股
  -----------------------------
  成熟的股市,就应该是这个样子。
作者:满泉小屋 时间:2018-07-22 17:36:40
  @满泉小屋 54楼 2018-07-22 13:46:04
  日周月线三买是不是大同小异啊,谢谢。
  -----------------------------
  @thanks6love 57楼 2018-07-22 16:41:54
  原理都一样。
  -----------------------------
  嗯,学习了。今天买了点002156,楼主看看可以吗
作者:满泉小屋 时间:2018-07-22 17:38:34
  现在大盘真的不稳定,今天试着买了点。呵呵。
楼主thanks6love 时间:2018-07-22 17:57:42
  下图中的上涨还可以再延续吗?
  
  向上的线段AB被BC一笔破坏了,随后,又向上延伸出线段CD。
  结果,线段CD的盘整背驰点D,低于前一线段的最高点B。
  随后,盘整背驰转化为第三类买点后的上涨最高点e,低于D。
  B、D、e三点,层层递跌,显示多方已经耗尽了能量。
  根据缠论,某一线段被笔破坏后,随后在反方向延伸出一段,而此延伸段的最高点(或最低点)不能突破该笔的最高点(或最低点),说明原线段结束了,市场将向与原线段相反的方向运动。
  根据这一理论,e点之后的下跌,也是顺理成章的事了。
  问题是,这个图是上证月线的倒置图,所以,结论也是倒置的,那么,正确的结论是:空方已经耗尽了能量,e点之后的上涨顺理成章。
  目前,我们正在向e点的最顶端靠近之中。
作者:天黑路滑股市复杂 时间:2018-07-22 18:13:54
  回复第36楼(作者:@thanks6love 于 2018-07-22 10:51)
  @天黑路滑股市复杂 29楼 2018-07-22 22:45:08
  给我画下002468吧,……
  ==========
  嗯,谢谢
  
楼主thanks6love 时间:2018-07-22 18:15:34
  @满泉小屋 64楼 2018-07-22 17:36:40
  嗯,学习了。今天买了点002156,楼主看看可以吗
  -----------------------------
  周线级别第二个中枢最后一段的下跌中。
  日线正在做三卖,估计还有一小段下跌。
  周线
  
  日线
  
作者:天黑路滑股市复杂 时间:2018-07-22 18:15:47
  600582能不能走牛呢?能到20吗,看它的形态很好
  
楼主thanks6love 时间:2018-07-22 18:25:44
  @天黑路滑股市复杂 69楼 2018-07-22 18:15:47
  600582能不能走牛呢?能到20吗,看它的形态很好
  -----------------------------
  月线三卖构筑中,一旦形成,就会再次回踩前低5.8元。
作者:duantao83 时间:2018-07-22 18:45:19

  
  楼主你好,上面我我画的雅本化学的周线图,对你分析有点疑问,雅本化学图上G点突破前高后,回踩应该不破ZG(A点),才够成周线三买,而现在已经跌破A点,跌倒中区只内
  现在可能走的是下跌--盘整--下跌 或下跌---盘整 ----上涨,或在现阶段继续盘整的情况,那么12.97可能是这几天最高点,后再下载,到10.97附近,,

  图片画得不准确,有问题请指教,另E,F点是否能看成一笔?
楼主thanks6love 时间:2018-07-22 18:51:46
  @duantao83 72楼 2018-07-22 18:45:19
  图片画得不准确,有问题......
  -------------------------
  不能画笔,笔不能构成中枢。
  到日线图中画段,然后,在周线图中标记。
  看着是周线一笔,实际是日线一段。
作者:春天莱了 时间:2018-07-22 18:55:36
  楼主你好:帮忙看看600476
作者:duantao83 时间:2018-07-22 19:00:01
  @duantao83 72楼 2018-07-22 18:45:19
  图片画得不准确,有问题......
  -------------------------
  不能画笔,笔不能构成中枢。
  到日线图中画段,然后,在周线图中标记。
  看着是周线一笔,实际是日线一段。
  ---------------------------------
  楼主你好,还有一个问题,就是为什么这次低点10.95你看成三买点,为啥前面4次低点看成三买,现在又可能继续盘整,再跌倒10.95附近
作者:jate35 时间:2018-07-22 19:03:12
  强楼观点很新很强,还在线么?
  在线等待你对这三个标的的金句:600491、601018、600428。多谢。
楼主thanks6love 时间:2018-07-22 19:10:31
  @春天莱了 74楼 2018-07-22 18:55:36
  楼主你好:帮忙看看600476
  -----------------------------
  不看好,个人认为还要跌。
楼主thanks6love 时间:2018-07-22 19:15:55
  @duantao83 75楼 2018-07-22 19:00:01
  楼主你好,还有一个问题,就是为什么这次低点10.95你看成三买点,为啥前面4次低点看成三买,现在又可能继续盘整,再跌倒10.95附近
  -----------------------------
  前面的10.70元就可以看成三买了。
  三买过后,向上一笔对原线段进行了破坏,然后,又沿原线段方向延伸出一段。
  所以,之后,还是看成原线段的延伸。
  这延伸出来的一段,背驰需要MACD两次回拉零轴,最后的背驰点就是第二个10.95元。
  根据一般线段划分原则,就将这个10.95元作为构成周线三买的次级别走势的终结点。
作者:山在前面777 时间:2018-07-22 19:19:21
  楼主帮忙看看002283天润,6.8的本,多少能补?多谢了
楼主thanks6love 时间:2018-07-22 19:22:36
  @jate35 76楼 2018-07-22 19:03:12
  强楼观点很新很强,还在线么?
  在线等待你对这三个标的的金句:600491、601018、600428。多谢。
  -----------------------------
  龙元建设,之前帖子分析过,和中远航运一样,都是标准的大熊股,牛市不来,很难走好的。
  宁波港再处于日线级别的中阴阶段,周布林收口了,意味着快要变盘了,由于之前是上涨的,因此之后变盘向上的可能性比较大。
  技术水平不高的,还是不要参与中阴阶段比较好,尽量作趋势明朗的股票。
楼主thanks6love 时间:2018-07-22 19:27:14
  @山在前面777 79楼 2018-07-22 19:19:21
  楼主帮忙看看002283天润,6.8的本,多少能补?多谢了
  -----------------------------
  熊股,不碰为好。
  尽量买处在牛市中的股票。
  熊市中的股票,既便已经见底,也往往要长期横盘震荡,会让持股者付出大量的时间成本和机会成本。
  来股市:
  第一,赚钱。
  第二,赚时间。
作者:天黑路滑股市复杂 时间:2018-07-22 19:28:13
  回复第70楼(作者:@thanks6love 于 2018-07-22 18:25)
  @天黑路滑股市复杂 69楼 2018-07-22 18:15:47
  600582能不能走牛呢……
  ==========
  啊!这跟我的看法完全不一样啊,
  
作者:duantao83 时间:2018-07-22 19:34:31
  楼主你好,今天早上,我在早盘5.63买入了大东海A(000613)
  买入理由,昨天放量突破前期高点,今天回调不破5.6,且周线上看也出现了倍量柱,
  不过心里还是没有底,如果明天跌破5.6的话,就必须出局了,我做的是短信,持股不超过2-3天

  楼主帮忙分析下,谢谢了
楼主thanks6love 时间:2018-07-22 19:37:44
  @天黑路滑股市复杂 82楼 2018-07-22 19:28:13
  啊!这跟我的看法完全不一样啊,
  -----------------------------
  我的看法是这样的。
  
楼主thanks6love 时间:2018-07-22 19:51:05
  @duantao83 83楼 2018-07-22 19:34:31
  楼主你好,今天早上,我在早盘5.63买入了大东海A(000613)
  买入理由,昨天放量突破前期高点,今天回调不破5.6,且周线上看也出现了倍量柱,
  不过心里还是没有底,如果明天跌破5.6的话,就必须出局了,我做的是短信,持股不超过2-3天
  楼主帮忙分析下,谢谢了
  -----------------------------
  长线问题不大,短线有点问题。

  1、日线中枢(4.82,5.27)的第三类买点没做,有回调5.27之上的要求。
  2、30分上一波两个高点分别是5.60、5.65,这次回调两低点分别是5.61、5.66,正好各高一分钱,有做盘之嫌。
  3、周线倍量柱的开盘价是5.46元,这是主力成本线。

  综合分析,该股短线会跌到5.46元,完成日线三买。
我要评论
作者:szbored 时间:2018-07-22 19:52:03
  请帮忙看看【吉峰农机】,在国家重视粮食安全的前提下,农机股却是接连下跌。。。

  难道还没到时候,转盘还没转到农机农业上来?
楼主thanks6love 时间:2018-07-22 19:58:52
  @szbored 86楼 2018-07-22 19:52:03
  请帮忙看看【吉峰农机】,在国家重视粮食安全的前提下,农机股却是接连下跌。。。
  难道还没到时候,转盘还没转到农机农业上来?
  -----------------------------
  基本面我不在行。
  但仅从图形上看,该股月周日各级别均在熊市之中,我不会关注的。
  对于一只股票的牛熊性质的分别,自己一定要建立一个判断标准。
  比如,有人用60日均线,之上为牛,之下为熊;
  有人用年线作为标准,之上为牛,之下为熊。
  不管怎样,最好建立一套标准,最好是一个系统。
  这样,就可以有效避开熊股的伤害。
  牛股即便被套了,拿一段时间,解套的可能也是很大的。
作者:duantao83 时间:2018-07-22 19:59:55
  @duantao83 83楼 2018-07-22 19:34:31
  楼主你好,今天早上,我在早盘5.63买入了大东海A(000613)
  买入理由,昨天放量突破前期高点,今天回调不破5.6,且周线上看也出现了倍量柱,
  不过心里还是没有底,如果明天跌破5.6的话,就必须出局了,我做的是短信,持股不超过2-3天
  楼主帮忙分析下,谢谢了
  -----------------------------
  长线问题不大,短线有点问题。

  1、日线中枢(4.82,5.27)的第三类买点没做,有回调5.27之上的要求。
  2、30分上一波两个高点分别是5.60、5.65,这次回调两低点分别是5.61、5.66,正好各高一分钱,有做盘之嫌。
  3、周线倍量柱的开盘价是5.46元,这是主力成本线。

  综合分析,该股短线会跌到5.46元,完成日线三买。
  ---------------------------
  这样看来我明天就看早盘了,如果高开或平开的话先出来,低开的话看低开多少,再做决定,谢谢了!楼主在哪个城市,如在深圳的话希望有机会认识一下
楼主thanks6love 时间:2018-07-22 20:03:18
  @duantao83 88楼 2018-07-22 19:59:55
  这样看来我明天就看早盘了,如果高开或平开的话先出来,低开的话看低开多少,再做决定,谢谢了!楼主在哪个城市,如在深圳的话希望有机会认识一下
  -----------------------------
  南京。
作者:szbored 时间:2018-07-22 20:12:00
  感谢楼主对【吉峰农机】的提醒

  另外,感觉很多中小板的票是月线是向上的一笔、周线上的一段、日线上的一个趋势,但有的趋势很弱有的很强,要怎样判断强弱呢?

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